Wednesday, 24 October 2018

IL&FS and the Rating agencies

Indian rating agencies have blamed the lack of timely default data for their delay in downgrading IL&FS.

How true are their claims?

As early as 2015, IL&FS had disclosed FD under lien of Rs. 161.7 crores in its Cash Flow statement.
This certainly should have been an eye-opener considering the company had disclosed cash of Rs. 6,419 crores in its Balance Sheet.

However, that's not all: it seems the cash disclosed under the Balance Sheet was not freely available to the company. The Cash Flow statement depicts a further bifurcation of this cash balance as balance under margin/ security/ lien and as per the cash flow statement.

 As seen the percent of free cash available to the total cash declined from 87% to 41%.

Meanwhile the current maturities of long-term borrowings and short-term borrowings increased from Rs. 10,610 crores to Rs. 25,797 crores.
The percent of free cash to short-term borrowings plunged from 26% in 2014 to 17% in 2018. In other words, to meet a rupee of the short term borrowings only 0.17 rupee was available in 2018 from 0.26 rupee in 2014.



 Coupled with the almost 100% increase in the Debt-equity ratio, the situation at IL&FS was screaming disaster and the only ones who couldn't listen were the ones who didn't want to listen.



Friday, 21 September 2018

Market experts??

Shouldn't investors ask the so-called "Market experts" for compensation in case they rely on their so-called expert opinion to invest in stocks and suffer losses.

As seen, on April 25 and July 4, Mr. A.. advised investors to purchase DHFL, etc.

Within barely two months there is a complete turnaround with the same Mr. A.. advising investors to sell DHFL and the stock dropping 45%.



Isn't it time SEBI and the other regulatory authorities look into such "Market experts" advices?